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Bulls-Mavericks Betting Preview: LaVine, Doncic in for a big night?

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Bulls will need a huge night from Zach LaVine - Locked On Bulls

Both the Chicago Bulls and Dallas Mavericks are coming off Saturday night wins. Dallas knocked off a red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder squad and the Bulls squeeze past Cleveland in the final seconds.

The Bulls opened at a 1-point favorite but now come into tonight’s game against Dallas as a 1.5-point (-110) underdog, laying $110 dollars would net you $100. Chicago and Dallas have already faced off this season, Mavericks winning 115-109 but it was competitive throughout. Since then, the Bulls have lost Kris Dunn and Bobby Portis to their rotation but still managing a 4-6 record. The Mavericks have been quite the opposite, 2-7 since their win against the Bulls but have won two of their last three games.

As the injuries have piled up for the Bulls, Fred Hoiberg has been able to make a noticeable change in the way the Bulls are playing defense. Since their blow out loss to Golden State Warriors at home, the Bulls are fifth-best in the league in defensive rating at 103.6 in six games.

Bulls team defense has made strides but the offense has fallen off a cliff recently. Zach LaVine has been about the only reliable scorer for the Bulls, averaging 27.2 points per game and 20-points or more in the first 13 games this season. While Dallas may not be an offensive powerhouse, the Bulls are going to need secondary scoring to hang with the Mavericks Luka Doncic and Dennis Smith Jr.

An advantage for the Bulls tonight, over the past six games the Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 40.8% (dead last) from three on 28.8 attempts. Justin Holiday (38.3%) and Zach LaVine (34.9%) are the Bulls main three-point threats (13.6 attempts) but look for Ryan Arcidiacono (52.8% on 3.0 attempts) and Antonio Blakeney (47.4% on 2.9 attempts) to potentially have big nights behind the line.

Whether you’re looking at trends, analytics, or even just the eye test when it comes to putting money down tonight, you may want to avoid the spread completely. Chicago is 8-5 this season against the spread and Dallas is 7-5. Both the Bulls and Mavericks are 1-2 against the spread coming off of wins this season.

Smart play for tonight tends to tell me to stay away from this one. If you have to make a play, the Bulls are 5-1 against the spread this season when they are a home underdog but an overall -6.0 margin of victory. Dallas has been worse, 0-2 as an away favorite with a margin of victory of -14.

Bulls-Mavericks Player Props

Zach LaVine – Points (25.5): LaVine has been an absolute stud of the Bulls this season. He has scored 20+ points in each of their first 13 games. The last time the Bulls played Dallas, LaVine had 34-points on 11/15 shooting. I like LaVine tonight at home, Dallas’ perimeter defense has been bad of recently. Look for LaVine to try and duplicate his five three-pointers against the Mavericks tonight.
Bet: Zach LaVine over 25.5 points (-115)

DeAndre Jordan – Points and Rebounds (23.5): Let’s get straight to it, DeAndre Jordan absolutely dominated against the Bulls earlier this season. He posted 18-points, 16-rebounds in a win. Jordan’s first six games he scored double-digit points and rebounds but in their last six games has one done it twice. Wesley Matthews is out tonight so Dallas will need another scoring option. The Bulls frontcourt has been dominated on the boards this year, look to Jordan for a big night again tonight.
Bet: DeAndre Jordan points and rebounds over 23.5 (-115)

Luka Doncic – Points (19.5): Over the past six games, Doncic is averaging 22-points per game. The Mavericks will be without their second leading scorer in Wesley Matthews. While the Bulls defense has taken strides to be better this season, Doncic could quite easily put up 20+ points tonight. While I don’t love it at -125, it might be the safest prop bet tonight.
Bet: Luka Doncic over 19.5 points (-125)

Justin Holiday – Points (11.5): Crazy I know, but Justin Holiday has been actually quite good behind the arc this season. I mentioned early how the Mavericks have been the worst team at defending the three over the past few weeks (40.8% on 28.8 attempts), this might not be a bad play. Holiday is shooting 43.5% from three at home this season as opposed to 33.3% on the road. LaVine will clearly be the first option on offense but after that becomes a question. Holiday is good for a heater once every 10 days or so, look for that tonight.
Bet: Justin Holiday over 11.5 points (-115)

All betting odds and lines were taken from Bovada.lv

Jordan Maly is the host of Locked On Bulls, he's a native of Naperville, IL and graduated from Indiana University - Bloomington. Jordan has spent time covering the Indiana Pacers, Indiana Hoosiers basketball and football, and the Big Ten Conference as a credentialed writer. Jordan has been published in Bleacher Report, Sports Illustrated, FOX Sports, SB Nation, FanSided, and Yahoo Sports.

105 Comments

105 Comments

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    If you get too far into the SEO rabbit hole you’ll start stumbling upon spammy ways to
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    We’re going to build authority and get traffic fast, but we’re
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    The first thing we need to do is to figure out what that keyword is.
    Depending on how popular our site is and how long it’s been around, the level of traffic and
    difficulty we’ll get from this effort may vary. There are some big hits that
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    yellow end of the above graph will stretch forever and get
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    the majority of their retail revenue comes from a
    wide variety of things that aren’t bought anywhere nearly as
    often as their best-selling products.

    In SEO this matters because, at least in the beginning, we’re going to go after long tail
    keywords — very exact, intention-driven keywords with
    lower competition that we know can win, then gradually we’ll work our way to the left.

    Our site isn’t going to outrank ultra-competitive keywords in the beginning, but by being more specific
    we can start winning very targeted traffic with much less effort.
    In order to find our perfect long-tail keywords, we’re going
    to use a combination of four tools, all of which are
    free. Don’t be intimidated — it’s actually very simple.
    For this example we’ll pretend like we were finding a keyword for this book (and we’ll probably have to build out a site so
    you see if we’re ranked there in a few months).
    In this step we’re simply going to identify a few keywords that seem like they might work.

    Don’t concentrate too much on culling the list at this point, as most bad keywords will be automatically eliminated as a
    part of the process. That’s a good enough list to start. If
    you plug in one keyword it will start spitting out thousands of variations in just a few minutes.
    Try to get a solid list of 5-10 to start with. Now we’ll plug each keyword into UberSuggest.
    When I plug the first one — ”growth hacking” — in,
    I get 246 results. Clicking “view as text” will let us copy and paste all of our keywords into a
    text editor and create an enormous list.

    Go through that process with each keyword you came up with.
    If you don’t, try to start with something more generic and broad as a keyword,
    and you’ll have that many quickly. Now that we have a pretty good
    list of keywords. Our next step is to figure out if they
    have enough search volume to be worth our while.
    You’ll likely notice that some are so far down the long tail
    they wouldn’t do much for us. For example, my growth hacking list came up with “5 internet marketing techniques.” We probably won’t go after that one, but
    instead of guessing we can let Google do the work for us.

    This will be our weeding out step. The Google Keyword Planner is a tool meant for advertisers, but it does give us some rough idea of traffic levels.
    Google doesn’t make any promise of accuracy, so these numbers are likely
    only directionally correct, but they’re enough to get us on the right track.
    You’ll have to have an AdWords account to be able to use the tool, but you can create one for free
    if you haven’t use AdWords in the past. Paste
    in your enormous list of keywords, and click “Get search volume.” Once you’ve done so, you’ll see a lot of graphs
    and data. Unfortunately the Keyword Planner interface is a little bit of a nightmare to work
    within, so instead we’re going to export our data to excel with the “download” button and play with
    it there.

    Now what we’re going to do is decide what traffic we want
    to go after. This varies a bit based on how much authority your site has.
    So let’s try to determine how easy it will be for you to rank.

    As a general rule (this may vary based on how old your site is, who the links are from,
    etc.), based on the number of links you have, this is the maximum level of “difficulty” you
    should go after. In addition to the amount of link juice a page has, the relevance of the anchor text matters.
    Generally speaking you want to use your keyword as the anchor text for your internal linking whenever possible.

    External linking (from other sites) shouldn’t be very heavily
    optimized for anchor text. If 90% of your links all have the same
    anchor text Google can throw a red flag, assuming
    that you’re doing something fishy. If you’re ever creating links (like we’ll show you in the future) I only ever use something generic like the site name, “here” or the full URL.
    Generally speaking you don’t want orphan pages (those that aren’t
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    link structure. That’s close, but it gets a couple
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    This can easily be done with a footer that feels like a sitemap or “recommended”
    pages. That allows you to specify anchor text, and pass link juice freely
    from page to page. Unfortunately it’s impossible to draw such a web without
    it becoming a mess, so you’ll just have to imagine what that actually looks
    like. We have just one more thing to go over before we start getting those first links pointing to our
    site. Most of SEO is managing stuff that can go wrong.

    There is a lot of that, but we’ll go over what will cover 99%
    of needs, and you can Google if there’s something really crazy.
    This is just a plain text file that lets you tell search engine crawlers what to
    crawl and not to crawl.

    Most are pretty good about listening, except the Bingbot, which pretty much does whatever it wants no matter what you tell
    it. If you don’t want Google to crawl a page (maybe it’s a login page you don’t want indexed, a landing page, etc.) you can just “disallow” it in your robots.txt by saying disallow: /somepage.
    If you add a trailing / to it (e.g. disallow: /somepage/) it will also disallow all child pages.
    ” if you don’t have a need for separate crawling rules. Google will penalize spammy sites, and unfortunately this causes some bad behavior from bad actors.

    Say, for example, you wanted to take out a competitor. You could send a bunch of obviously spammy links to their site and get them penalized. This is called “negative SEO,
    ” and is something that happens often in highly contested keywords. Google generally tries to pretend like it doesn’t happen. If you want to link to somebody but you don’t want it to count as a vote (you don’t want to pass link-juice), or you support user-generated content and want to deter spammers, you can use a nofollow link. Google says it discounts the value of those links. I’m not convinced they discount them heavily, but other SEOs are so they seem to deter spammers if nothing else.

    If you’re going to change a URL, but you don’t want its link juice to disappear, you can use a 301 redirect. A 301 will pass a majority of the link juice. And with that, we’re ready to build our first links. Link building is where SEO really starts to matter, and where a lot of people end up in a world of hurt. The best way to build links is to not build links. If not, at least in the beginning, we’re going to manually create just a few. We’re going to create them in legitimate ways and not hire somebody in India to do so. That is a recipe for disaster, and I can’t even count the number of times I’ve seen that take down a site.

    The easiest way to build high quality links are what SEOs call “web 2.0s.” That’s just a way to say “social sites” or sites that let you post stuff. Now tweeting a link into the abyss won’t do you anything, but profiles, status pages, etc. do carry some weight. And if they come from a popular domain that counts as a link. If nothing else you can start there and get a half dozen to a dozen links. There are always big lists of “web
    2.0s” you can find online, but keep in mind if you’re going to build something out on a blogging platform you’re going to have to really build something out.

    That’s a lot of content and time, but you have to do it the right way. We generally keep a bigger list of Web 2.0s here. Some may be out of date, but you should probably only build a half dozen to a dozen Web 2.0s anyway. Another way to get link juice is by purchasing an expired domain. You’ll want to purchase a domain that has expired and restore it as closely as you can to its original form using an archive. These sites likely have some link juice to pass on and you can pass it to yourself. Another way to find places you can build links is by using a link intersection tool. These find sites that link to “competitor a” and “competitor
    b” but not to you.

    Theoretically, if they link to both of your competitors, they should be willing to link to you. Moz, Ahrefs, LunaMetrics and others have link intersection tools that work quite well. Now that we have a few basic links flowing, we’re going to work on some strategies that will send continual links and press, eventually getting to a point where we don’t have to build any more links. Awesome — you have a site that converts well, your SEO is in place, ready for you to drive traffic. As you’re probably learned at this point, a site that converts very well but has no traffic flowing to it still converts zero traffic. We’re going to fix that.

    This section takes a lot of time and effort, and in the beginning you’ll likely wonder if you’re doing anything at all. Remember that class in college that is so difficult it’s the point where most people give up, effectively weeding out the people who aren’t ready to major in a specific subject? Well this is the weeder-out chapter of growth hacking. But don’t worry if you’re a startup. Our goal is to get enough traffic that continuing to do this effort will be sustainable (meaning we won’t die before we start to see the rewards), but at the same time we’re building equity in the Internet. The type of traffic we want to build is the type that will compound and will never go away. We want to create traffic today that will still give us a little trickle in five years.

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Bulls brutal November schedule continues in Boston

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Will Bulls Ryan Arcidiacono be able to contain Celtics Kyrie Irving? - Locked On Bulls

Locked On Bulls is back with a fresh episode, the guys kick off the show reflecting on being with Locked On Podcast Network for a year hosting Locked On Bulls. The guys highlight some of the best moments since their start and what they were thinking about this rebuild in year one. Note: an additional episode of the best of Locked On Bulls will be available in a separate episode. The guys also announce giveaway details on Twitter to win a Wendell Carter Jr. jersey!

The second segment of the show the guys give you a full preview of the Boston Celtics including thoughts from Locked On Celtics. Celtics are coming off 1-4 road trip and the offense has been bad, how can the Bulls capitalize on a cold start? What’s up with Gordon Hayward? The guys get Locked On Celtics take on what’s going on, potentially coming off the bench and Jaylen Brown’s slow start. The guys also get into some on-off court numbers for the Bulls as a team at two different positions. Since Ryan Arcidiacono has replaced Cameron Payne, how have the Bulls played? The guys also take a look at Jabari Parker and Chandler Hutchison.

The final segment of the show, the guys take mailbag questions from their text/voicemail line. Some of the topics include if the Bulls end up in the lottery this year, where are we look at being positioned? How many teams will be worse than the Bulls? Jordan isn’t convinced the Bulls will be bad enough to be a Top-5 lottery team. Other topics include trading would you trade Lonzo Ball for Kris Dunn straight up and which of the Reinsdorf’s franchises will win a championship first, the White Sox or Bulls? All of this and so much more on Locked On Bulls.

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